Tories set for electoral wipeout in Oxfordshire - YouGov poll

The YouGov national survey suggests the Tories will hold onto the Witney seat when the country goes to the polls. 

But the other six seats up for grabs will go to the Liberal Democrats and Labour, according to the survey.

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Oxfordshire's current MPs (clockwise from top left) John Howell, Anneliese Dodds, Robert Courts, Victoria Prentice, Layla Moran and David Johnston (Image: Contributed)

The survey of 14,000 people suggests the Tories are heading for an electoral wipeout across the UK.

Predicting Rishi Sunak’s party to retain just 169 seats, the poll indicates Labour will sweep to power with 385.

YouGov expects the Tories to win 196 fewer seats than in 2019, when former Henley MP Boris Johnson won a massive majority.

The Henley seat has been held by the Conservatives since 1910 (Image: PA)

Mr Johnson’s former seat – which is now known as Henley and Thame – will go to the Lib Dems at the election, the poll suggests.

If the poll is correct, Freddie van Mierlo, the Lib Dem candidate and county councillor for Chalgrove, would become the MP.

It would also be the first time since 1910 that the constituency was not represented by a Conservative MP.

Henley MP John Howell will step down at the next general election (Image: Conservatives)

The Tory candidate for the seat has not yet been selected after John Howell announced he would stand down at the election.

The selection process has been mired in controversy and was abandoned in June after “breaches of procedure”.

Tory MP David Johnston is running again for the Didcot and Wantage seat (Image: David Johnston)

The neighbouring constituency of Didcot and Wantage will also be won by the Lib Dems, according to the poll.

Currently held by David Johnston, the seat has been won by Conservative Party candidates since 1924.

The statue of King Alfred the Great in Wantage Market Place (Image: Ed Nix)

Mr Johnston, who is running again, will lose his seat to Olly Glover, the Lib Dem candidate, if the poll is accurate.

In Banbury, Labour’s candidate Sean Woodcock is predicted to replace Conservative Victoria Prentice as MP.

Since 1922, the seat has always been won by the Tories.

Conservative MP and Attorney General Victoria Prentice is predicted to lose her Banbury seat to Labour (Image: Conservatives)

But Mrs Prentice, the Attorney General, is one of 11 cabinet members, including the Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt, forecast to lose their seats.

Labour’s Anneliese Dodds is predicted to hold her seat of Oxford East, and the poll says Lib Dem Layla Moran will retain her Oxford West and Abingdon seat.

Labour's Anneliese Dodds is predicted to retain her Oxford East seat (Image: Oxford Mail)

Lib Dem MP Layla Moran will hold her Oxford West and Abingdon seat, the poll suggests (Image: Layla Moran)

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Bicester and Woodstock, a new constituency created as a result of population growth, will be won by Lib Dem candidate Calum Miller, the poll suggests.

Witney MP Robert Courts is predicted to be the only Tory to win a seat in Oxfordshire (Image: Robert Courts)

Only Witney will remain Tory, according to the poll, which predicts Solicitor General Robert Courts to hold onto his seat.

The YouGov poll was carried out using the Multilevel Regression with Poststratification method.

Before the 2019 election, the method suggested Boris Johnson would win 359 seats – just six fewer than the actual outcome.